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Paul Ehrlich, "The Dominant Animal: Human Evolution and the Environment" http://apocadocs.com/s.pl?1217879978
The current two greatest threats that Ehrlich sees are climate change (10 percent chance of civilization ending, and rising) and chemical toxification of the biosphere. "Every cubic centimeter of the biosphere has been modified by human activity."
The main climate threat he sees is not rising sea levels ("You can outwalk that one") but the melting of the snowpack that drives the world’s hydraulic civilizations -- California agriculture totally dependent on the Sierra snowpack, the Andes running much of Latin America, the Himalayan snows in charge of southeast Asia. With climate in flux, Ehrlich said, we may be facing a millennium of constant change. Already we see the outbreak of resource wars over water and oil. (tip o' the hat to Arnie)
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The ApocaDocs say:
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The dominant animal may end up being whimperingly submissive. As Ehrlich says, "Nature always bats last."
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